Dr. Gang Wei

School of Public Health

School of Mathematics & System Sciences

Shandong Univeristy

Title: "Study on the Epidemic Trend of Measles in Shandong Province"

The last 40 years records of the measles cases in Shandong Province demonstrated clearly the
natural epidemiological periodicities and the seasonal effects. The human interference¡¯s effects
are dramatic and had shown to be very powerful with the enforcement of vaccination approaches by
the government. On the other hand, the updated internet recording system had greatly improved the
precision. The analysis and forecast have to be modified accordingly. In this talk we introduce
the primary work we performed for the related data processing and the interesting probability and
statistical models for the spatial temporal mechanism of the measles epidemical trend.