Modelling the Steady State Prices of an Economy Using the Leontieff Model

(due date November 23)

Modelling of the economy plays a very important role in the attempt to understand and manipulate the economy of a country or a region. The Leontief Closed Model is an early attempt in this direction. These problems are generally quite difficult, since they are not as well defined as problems in (for example) the physical sciences. In particular, it is not clear when enough data are known to approximate the economy, and what influence human nature has on the economy. The Leontief closed model was invented by Prof Wassily Leontief in the 1930's, and he was subsequently awarded the Nobel prize for his efforts (of course, Leontief's contributions goes beyond the model we will discuss here).

Consider the general problem where we have n manufacturers tex2html_wrap_inline47 making n products tex2html_wrap_inline51 (tex2html_wrap_inline47 makes tex2html_wrap_inline51). In one year we assume that tex2html_wrap_inline47 makes exactly one unit of tex2html_wrap_inline51, and that all of the tex2html_wrap_inline51 is consumed in that year in the manufacturing of the other products (including tex2html_wrap_inline51). Thus, let tex2html_wrap_inline65 be the amount of product tex2html_wrap_inline67 consumed in the manufacturing of tex2html_wrap_inline51. Then tex2html_wrap_inline71.

Suppose that the system is closed: There are no products leaving or entering the system, and suppose that all the goods are consumed at the rate that they are made. Then, since the total production of tex2html_wrap_inline67 is 1,
displaymath77
The aim is understand the prices of the products. Let tex2html_wrap_inline79 be the price of product tex2html_wrap_inline51 (for one unit). Assuming that no manufacturer makes or loses any money, what are the prices of the products? Since tex2html_wrap_inline47 pays tex2html_wrap_inline85 for product tex2html_wrap_inline87, the total cost in producing product tex2html_wrap_inline51 is
displaymath91
But tex2html_wrap_inline47's income must be tex2html_wrap_inline79, if there is no loss or profit. Thus, equating expenses with income, we get
displaymath97
Let tex2html_wrap_inline99, and tex2html_wrap_inline101. Then this equation reduces to
displaymath103
A is called the exchange matrix, since it describes the exchange of goods between the manufacturers. We must find a solution tex2html_wrap_inline107 which satisfies this equation, and that will be the prices of the products.

One can argue that we should really require that no manufacturer is making a loss: tex2html_wrap_inline109. However, it can be proven that this implies that tex2html_wrap_inline111. In other words, no manufacturer can make a profit without another making a loss. The Leontief closed model is therefore called a zero-sum game, describing a steady state system.

The following table describes the exchange of goods in a small economy which includes a wheat farmer, a milk farmer, a wine producer, a tailor, a cotton grower, a baker and a yoghurt maker.
 

tabular33

Make a Leontief closed model from this data, and solve for the prices of the products using Maple. Observe that the columns do not add up to 1. Therefore, in order to use the assumption that the total produced is one unit, you will have to normalize the production; in other words, you will have to rescale to different units so that the sum of each column is equal to 1.


Instructor

Mike Zabrocki
Email address: zabrocki@yorku.ca
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
York University
Back to Department's Public Page
Back to my course Page
Back to top of page